- Title: France's Macron set for biggest majority since De Gaulle - poll
- Date: 6th June 2017
- Summary: PARIS, FRANCE (JUNE 6, 2017) (REUTERS) POSTERS READING (French): "LEGISLATIVE ELECTIONS OF 11 AND 18 JUNE 2017" AND "THE OFFICIAL CANDIDATE OF EMMANUEL MACRON EN-MARCHE" VARIOUS OF POSTER OF MACRON'S PARTY REPUBLIC ON THE MOVE! CANDIDATE SYLVAIN MALLARD VARIOUS OF POSTER OF CANDIDATE FOR CONSERVATIVE PARTY THE REPUBLICANS VINCENT BALADI VARIOUS OF POSTER OF CANDIDATE FOR SOCIALIST PARTY PAULINE VERON PARIS, FRANCE (RECENT - MAY 17, 2017) (REUTERS) MACRON WALKING DOWN STAIRCASE OF ELYSEE PALACE PARIS, FRANCE (JUNE 6, 2017) (REUTERS) SCIENCES PO BUILDING SCIENCES PO SIGN VARIOUS OF POLITICAL ANALYST AT SCIENCES PO UNIVERSITY, BRUNO CAUTRES, WORKING AT HIS DESK (SOUNDBITE) (English) POLITICAL ANALYST AT SCIENCES PO UNIVERSITY, BRUNO CAUTRES, SAYING: "What is extremely interesting this year is that the political movement of Emmanuel Macron, En Marche, it's going to be the first time that they are presenting candidates for the legislative elections, and it's going to be an amazing situation where a new, absolutely new political movement is going to get probably an overall majority of the seats. We just don't know if it will be absolute majority or maybe that it will be relative majority. But we know that En Marche is going to win the legislative election, and it's quite certain that Emmanuel Macron and Edouard Philippe, the new prime minister, will get a stable majority to vote for their policy reforms." PARIS, FRANCE (RECENT - MAY 30, 2017) (REUTERS) CANDIDATE IN PARIS'S SIXTH CONSTITUENCY FOR FRANCE UNBOWED, DANIELLE SIMONNET, HANDING OUT LEAFLETS AT MARKET CAMPAIGN POSTERS FOR CANDIDATES OF FRANCE UNBOWED, EN MARCHE AND COMMUNIST PARTY CANDIDATE IN PARIS'S SIXTH CONSTITUENCY FOR "REPUBLIC ON THE MOVE" (LREM), PIERRE PERSON, HANDING OUT LEAFLETS NEAR MARKET LEAFLETS SHOWING PERSON AND MACRON PARIS, FRANCE (RECENT - MAY 9, 2017) (REUTERS) SOCIALIST PARTY SPOKESPERSON JEAN-CHRISTOPHE CAMBADELIS ARRIVING FOR NEWS CONFERENCE BANNER READING: PS (FOR SOCIALIST PARTY) AND SLOGAN (English): SOCIAL (JUSTICE) AND ENVIRONMENT PARIS, FRANCE (JUNE 6, 2017) (REUTERS) (SOUNDBITE) (English) POLITICAL ANALYST AT SCIENCES PO UNIVERSITY, BRUNO CAUTRES, SAYING: "The most likely scenario is that Les Republicains are going to be probably the biggest party of the opposition. They are going to lose seats obviously, but it's not going to be like for the Socialists. For the Socialists, it's going to be absolute disaster this election. They are, according to the survey, the Socialists could get 8, 9 percent of the vote, which means very few seats. It could be that they are going to get 40 seats, 30 seats, which means dividing their number of seats on today by eight or 10."
- Embargoed: 20th June 2017 15:52
- Keywords: Socialist Party Front National The Republicans Republic on the Move polls elections legislative Macron
- Location: PARIS, FRANCE
- City: PARIS, FRANCE
- Country: France
- Topics: Government/Politics,Elections/Voting
- Reuters ID: LVA0016K55DFR
- Aspect Ratio: 16:9
- Story Text: Emmanuel Macron's party is set to win the biggest parliamentary majority for a French president since Charles de Gaulle's 1968 landslide, a survey of voter intentions for the coming legislative elections showed on Tuesday (June 6).
A majority of such proportions would give Macron's government a strong mandate to push ahead with his economic reforms, starting with a pro-business overhaul of France's labour code.
Macron's centrist Republic On The Move (LREM) - which did not exist a year ago and has turned the French political scene upside down - was seen winning 29.5 percent of the vote in the June 11 first round, the Ipsos Sopra-Steria poll found.
With a solid lead ahead of other parties, LREM would go on to win 385-415 seats out of 577 seats in the lower house of parliament in a June 18 second round of voting, the poll projected.
Not only was that the biggest majority projected by a poll for the election since Macron won the presidency in May, it would also be the strongest since voters rallied behind former president and wartime hero De Gaulle in 1968 after student revolts and nationwide general strikes.
LREM's 29.5 percent first-round vote was seen leading the conservative Republicans and their allies on 23 percent. The far-right National Front was seen winning 17 percent and the hard-left France Unbowed on 12.5 percent. The party with the current majority, the Socialists, is projected to win only 8.5 percent in the first round - an "absolute disaster," according to political science expert Bruno Cautres, who added that The Republicans would emerge as the leading party in the opposition.
After the first round eliminates any candidate who gathers less than 12.5 percent of the vote, Macron's candidates will be strongly placed across the country to win the decisive second round, pollsters say.
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